Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Positive values mean an increase in death rates, negative numbers mean a decrease, and are measured per 100,000 people. Temperature-related deathsinclude hot and cold temperatures, and are based on the Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5 which reaches around 2°C of warming by mid-century,and 2.5°C by 2100. This is given next to the UN's projected all-cause death rates in its medium population scenario.